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Wednesday, 27 February 2019 14:01

Unpacking poor Oscars predictions

Man – that stung.

I’m referring, of course, to my abysmal performance in predicting this year’s Academy Award winners. In years past, I haven’t written a follow-up to my Oscars preview. For the most part, this is because I always did pretty well and I’ve never been one to be all that inclined toward victory laps.

This year, however, was probably my worst prognosticative performance in my entire decade-plus as a professional movie-knower. I have never been as off as I was this year, so I thought it might be fun to unpack it.

For the record, I correctly predicted 14 of 24 awards. Considering the wild unpredictability we experienced this year, that’s not a terrible number. Compared to last year – when I went 21-for-24 – it IS a terrible number.

I did get a fair amount right. Three of the four acting categories. Best director and cinematography (both Alfonso Cuarón). Adapted screenplay and best song. Both animated film categories and feature documentary and foreign language film. Costume and makeup and production designs.

But that’s not what we’re here for. Let’s take a look at what went wrong.

Published in Buzz

It’s Oscar time again!

This year marks the 91st Academy Awards. 91 years of Hollywood’s biggest night of self-celebration and self-congratulation. Nearly a century of dazzling gowns and dapper tuxedos and impactful acceptance speeches and inane interviews on the red carpet. Generations of excitement and disappointment.

As someone who loves the movies, I love the Oscars. Yes, they’ve grown increasingly out of touch over the years, but so what? There’s something exciting about rewarding the best of the best – even if what seems like the best of the best today might not seem so great later on down the road.

This marks the 12th Oscar preview I’ve written for The Maine Edge. I’ve been doing this for a dozen years. You might think that means I know something. And maybe I do … but not that much. While I’ve gotten pretty good at determining just who is going to win, the reality is that there are always going to be some surprises. That’s the joy of it – you just never know.

Here’s a look at my predictions for the 2019 Academy Awards. I've included write-ups for the big ones - the four acting categories, director and Best Picture - and just picked the winners for the rest.

Published in Cover Story

It’s Oscar time again!

This year marks the 90th Academy Awards. 90 years of Hollywood’s biggest night of self-celebration and self-congratulation. 90 years of dazzling gowns and dapper tuxedos and impactful acceptance speeches and inane interviews on the red carpet. 90 years of excitement and disappointment.

As someone who loves the movies, I love the Oscars. Sure, they’ve grown increasingly out of touch over the years (though there’s been some solid bounceback in the last few). So what? There’s something exciting about rewarding the best of the best – even if what seems like the best of the best today might not seem so great later on down the road.

This marks the 11th Oscar preview I’ve written for The Maine Edge. I’ve been doing this for over a decade. And while I’ve gotten pretty good at determining just who is going to win, the reality is that there are always going to be some surprises. Hell, just look at last year, when “La La Land” was the winner for Best Picture … until it wasn’t.

OK, so maybe we won’t see THAT big a surprise this time around, but that’s the joy of it – you just never know.

Here’s a look at my predictions. I've included write-ups for the big ones - the four acting categories, director and Best Picture - and just picked the winners for the rest.

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Published in Cover Story
Wednesday, 22 February 2017 12:35

Celebrating cinema with the Academy Awards

Predicting the Oscar winners for 2017

Published in Cover Story
Wednesday, 04 January 2017 13:26

The best (and worst) at the movies

Looking at the cinematic year in advance of awards season

Published in Cover Story
Wednesday, 20 February 2013 10:30

Thanking the Academy: 2013 Oscar predictions

It's that time again, time for the Hollywood elite to roll out the red carpet and give themselves a few pats on the back. That's right - it's the Academy Awards.

As someone who spends a lot of time at the movies, this is one of my favorite times of the year. Awards such as the Oscars are great because they inspire conversation who do you think will win, who do you think should win, which movies did you see, which movies did you like, which did you hate and on and on and on.

So I'm once more putting my prognostication skills on the line. These are my picks for some of the big awards come Sunday night. Again, these aren't necessarily the people and films that I think should win. They're the ones I think will win. Sometimes, they're the same. More often, they're not.

Published in Cover Story
Wednesday, 22 February 2012 15:23

A night at the Oscars

Picking the 2012 Academy Awards

It's that time again; time for the Hollywood elite to roll out the red carpet and part themselves on the back. That's right - it's the Academy Awards.

As someone who spends a lot of time at the movies, this is one of my favorite times of the year. Awards such as the Oscars are great because they inspire conversation - who do you think will win, who do you think should win, which movies did you see, which movies did you like, which did you hate - and on and on and on.

So I'm once more putting my prognostication skills on the line. These are my picks for some of the big awards come Sunday night. Again, these aren't necessarily the people and films that I think should win. They're the ones I think will win. Sometimes, they're the same. More often, they're not.

Published in Cover Story

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