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Kibbles and Picks 2019 - Week 8

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Now we’re talking.

Thanks to a clutch 11-3 record this week, I’ve added to my season lead over Stella. I gained two games, courtesy of Stella’s still-quite-good 9-5; my lead is now up to three. It has been some time since I approached the midseason mark with a lead; I’m just crossing my fingers that I’m able to maintain.

There shouldn’t be a ton of movement this week – Stella and I differ on just six of the week’s 15-contest slate. Of course, there’s nothing to say that one of us won’t go five-for-six and make a four-game move.

First up, we’re looking at the Eagles/Bills matchup in Buffalo. I’m coming around on the Bills; that defense is legit. If QB Josh Allen can keep from making too many mistakes (a big if, admittedly), Buffalo should have little problem getting the W on their home field. Stella’s a fan of the Bills as well, but she thinks that Philly QB Carson Wentz and company will be able to move the ball in Buffalo. It won’t be a shootout, but she expects the Eagles to hold it down.

After that, I have the Chargers going into Chicago and beating the Bears. To be honest, I’m not sure why I’m feeling this pick – it’s less about what the Chargers can do and more about what the Bears can’t. Philip Rivers might struggle to get the offense going against Chicago’s killer defense, but I have to think that the Bears will struggle even more behind Mitch Trubisky. Stella’s putting her faith in the strong Chicago D; she’s expecting a couple of turnovers and at least one big play from Khalil Mack. She doesn’t expect much from Trubisky and the offense, but she doesn’t think they’ll need much to pull out a victory.

In our first “no one cares” game of the week, we’ve got Tampa Bay at Tennessee. I went with the Titans at home, even though it will mark the first start for QB Ryan Tannehill following the benching of Marcus Mariota. We’ll see a lot of Derick Henry and a bunch of ball control-type stuff. If Tennessee can win the time of possession battle, they’ll win. Stella likes the Buccaneers coming off the bye. She understands that Jameis Winston is woefully inconsistent throwing the ball, but thinks that Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are as elite a pair of pass-catchers as there is in the league; she doesn’t believe the Titans secondary is good enough to stop them.

This next one makes me feel like I’m missing something. I’m picking Indianapolis to win at home against Denver. This seems like a no-brainer – Jacoby Brissett has the Colts offense working nicely and the defense has been solid. Plus the Broncos haven’t been great. Stella’s playing a hunch with this one – she just thinks that this is a trap game for Indy and that the Broncos will have something to prove with this one. She doesn’t expect it to be pretty, but she likes Denver to win the upset.

And here we have the reverse of the last one, where I make the less-defensible pick. I’ve got the Raiders going into Houston and upending the Texans. I honestly don’t know why I’m choosing Oakland here – it’s just a hunch. Logic dictates going with Houston, but … here we are. Stella isn’t openly scoffing at me for this one, but she is snickering a little under her breath. She loves Deshaun Watson and expects the Texans to walk all over the Raiders defense. She also expects the Houston pass rush to give Matt Ryan fits. Her guess is that Houston wins big.

Finally, in what’s probably the biggest game of the weekend, I’m going with Kansas City to win at home against Green Bay. Yes, the injury to Patrick Mahomes undermines the Chiefs offense considerably; the game will be far closer than it might have been otherwise. But there’s still a LOT of talent on this roster; I think Andy Reid will come up with a plan to maximize Matt Moore and win this game. Stella feels fairly certain that Aaron Rodgers will have zero problem attacking the Kansas City defense and doing pretty much whatever he wants. She expects another huge game from the Packers QB, as well as a sizeable contribution from Aaron Jones and/or Jamaal Williams on the ground. It could still be a high-scoring contest, but she’s sure that the Packers will be on top.

And that’s that. Just six games. We’ll have to see how it goes. Maybe my lead will keep growing. Maybe this is the zenith of my season. Who knows? That’s why they play the games.

(winners in caps)

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ALLEN’S PICKS

Thursday, October 24

Washington at MINNESOTA

Sunday, October 27

SEATTLE at Atlanta

Philadelphia at BUFFALO

LA CHARGERS at Chicago

NY Giants at DETROIT

Tampa Bay at TENNESSEE

Denver at INDIANAPOLIS

Cincinnati at LA RAMS

Arizona at NEW ORLEANS

NY Jets at JACKSONVILLE

Carolina at SAN FRANCISCO

Cleveland at NEW ENGLAND

OAKLAND at Houston

Green Bay at KANSAS CITY

Monday, October 28

Miami at PITTSBURGH

Week 7 record: 11-3

Season record: 66-38-1

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STELLA’S PICKS

Thursday, October 24

Washington at MINNESOTA

Sunday, October 27

SEATTLE at Atlanta

PHILADELPHIA at Buffalo

LA Chargers at CHICAGO

NY Giants at DETROIT

TAMPA BAY at Tennessee

DENVER at Indianapolis

Cincinnati at LA RAMS

Arizona at NEW ORLEANS

NY Jets at JACKSONVILLE

Carolina at SAN FRANCISCO

Cleveland at NEW ENGLAND

Oakland at HOUSTON

GREEN BAY at Kansas City

Monday, October 28

Miami at PITTSBURGH

Week 7 record: 9-5

Season record: 63-41-1

Last modified on Thursday, 24 October 2019 09:47

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