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Kibbles and Picks 2019 - Week 11

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That was … bad.

I came out on top in Week 10, but my 6-7 record is hardly worth bragging about. Stella did just one game worse at 5-8, which doubles my lead and put me two games up on the season. Again – it’s a net win, but there’s nothing to be proud of about any of this.

Let’s hope that we see a rebound here in Week 11. We’re at odds on half-a-dozen of the week’s 14 contests. I’d call it an opportunity for one of us to make a big move, but the reality is that neither one of us has truly shined this season. For now, let’s just assume that this NFL season has been less predictable than usual thus far and this week will be the week that we start to lock it in.

We hit the ground running with the Thursday night game. I’m picking the Browns to win at home. Sure, they’ve been wildly inconsistent and have yet to win two in a row this season, but I have to think that with all that talent on the field, they’ll click despite the terrible coaching. If they feed Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, they should win. Stella likes the look of the resurgent Steelers. While she’s not enamored of the Pittsburgh offense, she thinks the ballhawking defense will have a field day against turnover-prone Baker Mayfield and the rest of the Browns. She’s counting on a couple of big plays from that Steelers D to make the difference in the contest.

Next up, I have the Jaguars winning on the road in Indianapolis. Let’s be clear – I don’t think the Jags are as good a team as the Colts, even without Indy starting QB Jacoby Brissett. However, considering the injury issues that the Colts are dealing with and the looming return of Nick Foles, I think Jacksonville can eke out a road W. Stella has liked what she’s seen out of the Colts, even when they’ve struggled a bit. She’s banking on a ground-heavy attack led by Marlon Mack balanced by low-risk passing. She’s also betting on the Colts taking advantage of any hiccups in the Jags offense.

In my biggest dice-roll of the week, I’m taking the Buccaneers at home to beat the Saints. Basically, I’m operating on the theory that Jameis Winston is due for one of his occasional explosive passing days; New Orleans will struggle to handle Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. You just cross your fingers that Winston only throws one pick. Stella thinks that my Winston theory is nonsense and that even if it isn’t, the Saints will simply outscore the Bucs regardless of how many points it takes. She’s a little concerned about some player health situations, but she still thinks New Orleans will have plenty in the tank to win in Tampa.

Weekly game no one cares about: NY Jets/Washington. I took Washington because they’re at home. Stella took the Jets because they’re slightly less bad than Washington. That’s all there is to say.

Taking Chicago on the road against the Rams is another gamble, but one that I feel reasonably good about. The Bears haven’t been nearly the defensive force this season that they were last year, but I think they’re ready to handle the reeling Rams. Los Angeles is having serious offensive issues; expect Chicago to force a handful of big turnovers. Stella believes the Rams offense to be very fixable; she’s anticipating some real adjustments going forward, beginning with this game against the Bears. She’s not sure which Rams receiver is going to go off, but she feels like at least one of them will.

Finally, in the Monday night game, I have Kansas City beating the Chargers in the Monday night game in Mexico City. I know the Chiefs have been scuffling as of late, but they’re still plenty adept at scoring points. I think Pat Mahomes and company will move the ball with impunity; we’ll see some explosive plays. Side note: There’s a non-zero chance that Harrison Butker hits a 60+ yard field goal. Stella thinks the Chargers are poised for a big game. She expects that both Chargers running backs (Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler) will put up numbers against the soft KC run defense. We’re both thinking this one will be a shootout.

And that’s it. Let’s see if we can be not-terrible this time around, shall we?

(winners in caps)

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ALLEN’S PICKS

Thursday, Nov. 14

Pittsburgh at CLEVELAND

Sunday, Nov. 17

DALLAS at Detroit

JACKSONVILLE at Indianapolis

BUFFALO at Miami

Denver at MINNESOTA

New Orleans at TAMPA BAY

NY Jets at WASHINGTON

Atlanta at CAROLINA

Houston at BALTIMORE

Arizona at SAN FRANCISCO

Cincinnati at OAKLAND

NEW ENGLAND at Philadelphia

CHICAGO at LA Rams

Monday, Nov. 18

KANSAS CITY at LA Chargers

Week 10 record: 6-7

Season record: 91-55-1

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STELLA’S PICKS

Thursday, Nov. 14

PITTSBURGH at Cleveland

Sunday, Nov. 17

DALLAS at Detroit

Jacksonville at INDIANAPOLIS

BUFFALO at Miami

Denver at MINNESOTA

NEW ORLEANS at Tampa Bay

NY JETS at Washington

Atlanta at CAROLINA

Houston at BALTIMORE

Arizona at SAN FRANCISCO

Cincinnati at OAKLAND

NEW ENGLAND at Philadelphia

Chicago at LA RAMS

Monday, Nov. 18

Kansas City at LA CHARGERS

Week 10 record: 5-8

Season record: 89-57-1

Last modified on Thursday, 14 November 2019 09:02

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