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Kibbles and Picks 2016 - Week 10

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The only thing more generally disappointing than the quality of play in the NFL thus far this season has been the game-picking performance put up at Kibbles and Picks.

There was little movement this week in terms of the season series Stella and I once again managed identically sad, barely-above-.500 marks. We both came in at 7-6; as we've discovered in the first half of the season, there are very few sure things in the 2016 NFL.

As for this week, there's a chance of some real change in our standings we differ on fully half of the week's slate of 14 games. We differ on seven of these matchups, though with the way things have gone leading up to this point, neither of us is exactly brimming with confidence. I'm particularly nervous about the number of road winners (nine) that I picked.

First up is the Minnesota/Washington game. I've gone with the Vikings, despite their recent struggles. I think that the defense is talented enough to bounce back against a Washington offense with an uncertain ground game and that the offense will benefit from another week with their new coordinator. Stella thinks the downward trend of the Vikings defense is going to continue and expects a particularly impressive outing from Washington tight end Jordan Reed. She's also unimpressed with Minnesota's offense and thinks they'll struggle to score.

The sole head-to-head game in which I picked the home team has me taking the Buccaneers to win at home against visiting Chicago. Their running game is a mess, but Tampa Bay should be able to throw on the Bears all day. Stella sees the Chicago defense as underrated and more than capable of shutting down the Bucs. She also thinks that Jay Cutler can get it going against the Tampa Bay secondary.

Stella's looking for the Chiefs to go into Carolina and knock off the reeling Panthers. Even with their questions on offense, Kansas City looks ready to exploit a struggling defense. And their own D might well stifle Carolina QB Cam Newton. I, on the other hand, think that Newton goes off in this game, both with his arm and with his legs. I've seen some adjustments that I like on Carolina's part; I'm pretty sure they'll be playing hard, desperate to salvage their season.

I also for reasons I struggle to explain chose the Jets to beat the Rams. Stella went with the Rams on the road. Truthfully, neither of us feels good about this pick. Nor do we care at all about this game.

Picking the Broncos to win on the road in New Orleans was a tough call. The Broncos defense is good, but the Saints offense is pretty impressive on their home turf. Still, I think Denver slows down Drew Brees and company just enough to allow themselves to put up points against a New Orleans defense that struggles to stop anyone. Stella's a fan of the Saints at home and thinks that rather than Brees, the key to their win will be the running game she's anticipating good games from both Mark Ingram and Tim Hightower.

I'm not sold on this Pittsburgh team, which is why I picked the Cowboys to pull off the road win. Ezekiel Elliott will have no problem running the ball against this team; Dak Prescott will continue to look far better than your usual rookie QB. Add to that a dinged-up Ben Roethlisberger and I've got to go with Dallas. Stella thinks the Roethlisberger issues are overblown and that the QB will get it done against the Cowboys. She also likes Le'Veon Bell to have a strong game. It'll be close, but she likes the Steelers.

And finally, we have the Monday night game. I'm unfortunately biased regarding the Bengals thanks to fantasy football, but in this case, I think I have it right. Cincinnati is coming off a bye week and should be well-rested. Guys like A.J. Green and Jeremy Hill (fingers crossed) could have big games. Stella likes the Bengals as well, but she thinks that Eli Manning and company will be able to do enough to hold serve at home. She's not sold on the New York defense, but she's got a gut feeling that a big play or two might be sufficient to win the day.

So here we are seven games. Stella's lead remains unchanged at three games. It's conceivable that I could wipe out the whole thing in one fell swoop it certainly looks like that kind of week. But, as always, we'll simply have to wait and see.

(winners in caps)

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ALLEN'S PICKS

Thursday, Nov. 10

Cleveland at BALTIMORE

Sunday, Nov. 13

GREEN BAY at Tennessee

MINNESOTA at Washington

Chicago at TAMPA BAY

Kansas City at CAROLINA

ATLANTA at Philadelphia

Los Angeles at NY JETS

DENVER at New Orleans

HOUSTON at Jacksonville

Miami at SAN DIEGO

DALLAS at Pittsburgh

San Francisco at ARIZONA

Seattle at NEW ENGLAND

Monday, Nov. 14

CINCINNATI at NY Giants

Week 9 record: 7-6

Season record: 72-59-2

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STELLA'S PICKS

Thursday, Nov. 10

Cleveland at BALTIMORE

Sunday, Nov. 13

GREEN BAY at Tennessee

Minnesota at WASHINGTON

CHICAGO at Tampa Bay

KANSAS CITY at Carolina

ATLANTA at Philadelphia

LOS ANGELES at NY Jets

Denver at NEW ORLEANS

HOUSTON at Jacksonville

Miami at SAN DIEGO

Dallas at PITTSBURGH

San Francisco at ARIZONA

Seattle at NEW ENGLAND

Monday, Nov. 14

Cincinnati at NY GIANTS

Week 9 record: 7-6

Season record: 75-56-2

Last modified on Thursday, 17 November 2016 13:21

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