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Kibbles and Picks 2022 – Week 11

November 17, 2022
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Well … they can’t all be winners.

Week 10 served as a wonderful reminder of why we don’t place actual money on these games. Stella and I both had utterly abysmal showings, with neither of us cracking .500. However, Stella’s performance was slightly less putrid than mine – her 6-8 record for the week was enough to actually gain back a game, as I managed a lowly 5-9.

What that means, however, is that I am still in the lead after 10 weeks of football. Sure, there are seven more to go – plenty of time for me to resume my accustomed place looking up at her – but for now, in this moment, I am winning.

Feels good, man.

As for Week 11, we’re once again looking at a fairly limited oppositional slate, with Stella and I at odds on just five of the week’s contests. Not enough for any drastic moves, but really, all I’m hoping for is to manage better than .500.

First up, we have the Bears heading to Atlanta to face the Falcons. I’m going with the visiting Bears; I think the Justin Fields Experience continues apace there in Atlanta. I just don’t think they have anyone to stop him, even if he can’t really throw the ball all that well. Stella likes the Falcons to get things done against this Chicago squad. She’s thinking that tight end Kyle Pitts is due for an explosive game and that he and QB Marcus Mariota are poised to make that happen. She also anticipates a couple of forced turnovers, due to her unwillingness to fully buy into the Fields hype train.

Up next, we’ve got the Jets visiting the Patriots. I am, as always, picking my beloved Pats, although in this case my heart and head are in agreement. New England is coming off a bye and I expect the rest will have done them a world of good. Look for a healthy dose of Rhamondre Stevenson on the ground and a series of short and medium passes from Mac Jones; it won’t be all that exciting, but it’ll be more than enough for the win. As per usual, Stella has opted to troll me with this pick; anytime she can justify it, even with a slight underdog pick, she’s going to take the swing. She’s not really enamored of anyone on this Jets roster, but she thinks that they might be gunning for revenge after getting handled easily by this Pats team just a handful of weeks ago.

After that, it’s Washington/Houston. I have the home Texans because they’re home and I think there’s a Washington letdown after the Monday night win against the Eagles. Stella has the visiting Commanders because she thinks they’re still riding high after that Eagles win and also because the Texans are butt. Do not watch this game.

To the Mile High City, where I’ve got the visiting Raiders knocking off the Broncos. While I think this Las Vegas squad is in disarray, I think they can ride the running of Josh Jacobs to a ball control-type victory. If Derek Carr can get out of his own way, so much the better. Also, this Denver team isn’t good. Stella concedes the point, but feels that the Raiders are actually the worse of the two. She recognizes that Russell Wilson looks pretty washed, but she’s betting on him summoning up just enough of the old magic to hold off Vegas; the good news on wideout Jerry Jeudy’s health certainly helps matters.

Lastly, in what might be the best matchup of the week, we have Dallas/Minnesota. I’m going with the home Vikings, because I’ve really liked what I’ve seen from Justin Jefferson recently. He catches, you know, everything. If he can keep it up and Dalvin Cook can run well enough against this Cowboys front seven to keep them honest, I expect the Vikings will pull this one out. Stella’s really feeling Dallas in this one. The offense has its share of playmakers – look for big things out of CeeDee Lamb – but it’s really the defense that has her thinking that the Cowboys will pull it out. She’s expecting them to stifle the Minnesota offense enough to allow Dak Prescott and company a little offensive breathing room. Basically, to her mind, the lower the score, the more it favors Dallas.

And that’s it. Just five games. We’ll see how it plays out, but hey – I’m still winning. Let’s all enjoy that while we still can, shall we? Oh, and if the Sunday night game – Chiefs/Chargers – gets out of hand, you can always flip over to the Grey Cup, which will be contested by the Toronto Argonauts and Winnipeg Blue Bombers that same night.

At any rate – bon match!

(winners in caps)

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ALLEN’S PICKS

Thursday, November 17

Tennessee at GREEN BAY

Sunday, November 20

CHICAGO at Atlanta

Cleveland at BUFFALO

PHILADELPHIA at Indianapolis

NY Jets at NEW ENGLAND

LA Rams at NEW ORLEANS

Detroit at NY GIANTS

Carolina at BALTIMORE

Washington at HOUSTON

LAS VEGAS at Denver

Dallas at MINNESOTA

CINCINNATI at Pittsburgh

KANSAS CITY at LA Chargers

Monday, November 21

SAN FRANCISCO at Arizona

Week 10 record: 5-9

Season record: 85-62-1

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STELLA’S PICKS

Thursday, November 17

Tennessee at GREEN BAY

Sunday, November 20

Chicago at ATLANTA

Cleveland at BUFFALO

PHILADELPHIA at Indianapolis

NY JETS at New England

LA Rams at NEW ORLEANS

Detroit at NY GIANTS

Carolina at BALTIMORE

WASHINGTON at Houston

Las Vegas at DENVER

DALLAS at Minnesota

CINCINNATI at Pittsburgh

KANSAS CITY at LA Chargers

Monday, November 21

SAN FRANCISCO at Arizona

Week 10 record: 6-8

Season record: 83-64-1

Last modified on Friday, 18 November 2022 15:32

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