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Kibbles and Picks 2020 - Week 12

November 25, 2020
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Well … at least I didn’t LOSE any ground.

Week 11 was not kind to us here at Kibbles and Picks – Stella and I both stumbled to mediocre 7-7 records. Obviously, not out best work. This means that Stella’s season lead remains a robust six games.

Conveniently enough, six is also the number of games on which we differ this week – a number that includes both games on Thanksgiving day. It’s enough for me to completely erase that lead. It’s also enough for Stella to put me in a nigh-inescapable hole. More likely – another 3-3; that seems to be how things are going. But hey – we’ll see how it goes.

First up, I’m going with a hunch and taking the Lions to win at home over the Texans. I’m not entirely certain WHY I want to pick Detroit, other than the fact that D’Andre Swift is maybe coming back from concussion issues. Other than that, it’s just about a gut feeling (and probably a bad one). Stella, being a rational thinker, is going with Houston. She feels strongly that the Texans are going to build on their big win over the Patriots last week. She thinks Deshaun Watson blows up and takes the Lions apart practically by himself.

Next up, I’ve got the Cowboys winning at home against Washington. While there’s not a LOT to be confident about with regard to the Dallas offense, they seem like they’re on the verge of … well, something anyway. Basically, this is one of those picks that I made because I can’t just go chalk if I want to pick up any ground. Washington will struggle to stop Zeke Elliott if he can get going; that’s probably the key to the win. Stella’s low on Elliott and the entire Cowboys offense, regardless of which non-Dak guy they have under center. She likes what she’s seen out of the Football Team’s running back Antonio Gibson; she’s also of the mind that Terry McLaurin is on the brink of full-fledged stardom. That plus a sturdy D is enough to get it done.

In the Las Vegas/Atlanta matchup, I’ve got the Raiders winning on the road. I liked what I saw from them against the Chiefs, even if they did ultimately lose. Running back Josh Jacobs is a monster and will gain yards with impunity against an iffy Atlanta defense. Derek Carr is settling in and connecting with his pass catchers – tight end Dustin Waller is a constant threat. Stella, making what she admits is an impulsive pick, went with the Falcons. She’s not convinced that the Vegas secondary can handle both Calvin Ridley and Julio Jones and expects at least one of them to have a big game, which she figures will be enough to overcome whatever scoring the Raiders offense can manage.

Meanwhile, in our seemingly-weekly “Who gives a crap?” faceoff, we’ve got Giants/Bengals. I picked Cincinnati, Stella picked New York. It could not matter less; the only real winner is anyone who avoids watching this blahfest.

From there, it’s off to Minnesota, where the Vikings are hosting the Panthers. I’ve got the road team here; the Panthers have looked surprisingly good even with Christian McCaffery’s absence, with Mike Davis filling in admirably. If Carolina can control the pace and get a couple of timely turnovers, they’ll cruise to a win. Stella thinks the Vikings win out on talent – she’s got running back Dalvin Cook is the best player on the field for either team. Throw in the Rookie of the Year frontrunner Justin Jefferson catching the ball and you’ve got a Minnesota offense that is surprisingly explosive – and Stella thinks we’ll see more than one of those explosions in this game.

Last but not least, I continue my unrepentant homerism and pick the New England Patriots to win at home against the visiting Arizona Cardinals. I could throw some BS here about Cam Newton’s nose for the end zone or the potential of guys like Devin Harris and Jacobi Meyers or the considerable talent in the defensive secondary, but it’s tough to find football reasons to justify this pick. I just want them to win, so here we are. Stella, not being a fool, has opted to go with what she believes is the better team. Arizona’s offense has the potential to explode at any time, with Kyler Murray putting his name in the conversation for MVP. Receiver DeAndre Hopkins is maybe the best pass catcher in the game. And the Cardinals has a defense riddled with playmakers. Not only does Stella think Arizona wins, she thinks they win going away, blowing out New England on their home turf.

And that’s that. Six games this week. Let’s see if I can keep chipping away at that lead. Wish me luck.

(winners in caps)

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ALLEN’S PICKS

Thursday, Nov. 26

Houston at DETROIT

Washington at DALLAS

Sunday, Nov. 29

LAS VEGAS at Atlanta

LA Chargers at BUFFALO

NY Giants at CINCINNATI

Tennessee at INDIANAPOLIS

CAROLINA at Minnesota

Arizona at NEW ENGLAND

MIAMI at NY Jets

CLEVELAND at Jacksonville

Baltimore at PITTSBURGH

NEW ORLEANS at Denver

San Francisco at LA RAMS

KANSAS CITY at Tampa Bay

Chicago at GREEN BAY

Monday, Nov. 30

SEATTLE at Philadelphia

Week 11 record: 7-7

Season record: 97-63-1

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STELLA’S PICKS

Thursday, Nov. 26

HOUSTON at Detroit

WASHINGTON at Dallas

Sunday, Nov. 29

Las Vegas at ATLANTA

LA Chargers at BUFFALO

NY GIANTS at Cincinnati

Tennessee at INDIANAPOLIS

Carolina at MINNESOTA

ARIZONA at New England

MIAMI at NY Jets

CLEVELAND at Jacksonville

Baltimore at PITTSBURGH

NEW ORLEANS at Denver

San Francisco at LA RAMS

KANSAS CITY at Tampa Bay

Chicago at GREEN BAY

Monday, Nov. 30

SEATTLE at Philadelphia

Week 11 record: 7-7

Season record: 103-57-1

Last modified on Wednesday, 25 November 2020 18:45

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