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Kibbles and Picks 2017 - Week 3

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Weeks like these are what keep me coming back and risking abject humiliation.

I had a hell of a week, going 12-4 with my picks. Just a monster run. And yet … I only managed to gain back the game I lost last week, because sweet little Stella went 11-5 herself. All told, we’re both out to a pretty great start – we’ll have to see how it plays out going forward.

As for Week 3, we’re once again at odds on just five matchups.

It starts early with the Thursday night game. I’m taking the road team in the Rams/49ers tilt. I think QB Jared Goff is starting to show something, while San Francisco is going to struggle to shut down Rams running back Todd Gurley. LA isn’t a great team, but the 49ers are bad. Stella’s not arguing the badness of the Niners, but she also thinks that they’ll be extra up for a game that’s one of the few they’ve got a legitimate shot of winning. She’s betting on running back Carlos Hyde and a few high-impact turnovers providing enough juice for San Francisco to win at home.

Next up, I’ve got another road team – I’m picking the Falcons to go into Detroit and take down the Lions. I just love that Atlanta offense; they can score a bunch of points in a hurry. Matt Ryan will pick apart the Detroit secondary. Stella disagrees; she’s expecting that Matt Stafford will do his gunslinger thing and hit a couple of big plays against this Falcons defense. The one thing we both agree on is that it’s going to be a high-scoring affair – perhaps the highest scoring game of the entire week. The over/under is set at 50.5 – we’re both saying take the over.

From there, we go to what promises to be the worst game of the weekend and maybe one of the worst of the entire season. The Browns are going to Indianapolis to play the Colts and it’s difficult to imagine anyone giving a crap. I went with the Browns because … well, I honestly don’t know why. They’ve got to win once in a while, right? Meanwhile, Stella took the Colts solely because she thinks the home field will be the difference-maker in this s—tcircus. Whatever. Neither of us feels particularly strongly about this one.

Stella likes the Buccaneers on the road going to Minnesota. She’s actually been talking about Tampa Bay as a dark horse playoff contender; she thinks that they’ve got a chance to win nine or 10 games. She’s a big fan of the team’s passing attack. I like that group, too, but I think the Vikings have enough juice to shut them down in their house. Of course, if Sam Bradford is still off the field, the Minnesota path to victory is considerably tougher, but I still like their chances; the Buccaneers have a tendency to shoot themselves in the foot.

And finally, I've got the Seahawks heading into Tennessee and pulling off a win over the Titans. I have concerns about the Seattle O-line and how they impact QB Russell Wilson and the rest of the offense, but I think that the defense is elite enough to make up for those shortcomings. Stella agrees with me on the quality of the Seahawks D, but she's also a believer in Marcus Mariota. She thinks he – along with rapidly-ascendant running back Derrick Henry – has what it takes to pull out a hard-fought win on their home turf.

Two weeks in, all tied up. It’s going to be one hell of a ride. Wish me well.

(winners in caps)

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ALLEN’S PICKS

Thursday, Sept. 21

LA RAMS at San Francisco

Sunday, Sept. 24

BALTIMORE at Jacksonville

DENVER at Buffalo

PITTSBURGH at Chicago

ATLANTA at Detroit

CLEVELAND at Indianapolis

Tampa Bay at MINNESOTA

Houston at NEW ENGLAND

MIAMI at NY Jets

NY Giants at PHILADELPHIA

New Orleans at CAROLINA

SEATTLE at Tennessee

Cincinnati at GREEN BAY

KANSAS CITY at LA Chargers

OAKLAND at Washington

Monday, Sept. 25

DALLAS at Arizona

Week 2 record: 12-4

Season record: 21-10

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STELLA’S PICKS

Thursday, Sept. 21

LA Rams at SAN FRANCISCO

Sunday, Sept. 24

BALTIMORE at Jacksonville

DENVER at Buffalo

PITTSBURGH at Chicago

Atlanta at DETROIT

Cleveland at INDIANAPOLIS

TAMPA BAY at Minnesota

Houston at NEW ENGLAND

MIAMI at NY Jets

NY Giants at PHILADELPHIA

New Orleans at CAROLINA

Seattle at TENNESSEE

Cincinnati at GREEN BAY

KANSAS CITY at LA Chargers

OAKLAND at Washington

Monday, Sept. 25

DALLAS at Arizona

Week 2 record: 11-5

Season record: 21-10

Last modified on Tuesday, 26 September 2017 16:15

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